![enroute 4 output control center enroute 4 output control center](https://caleydo.org/caleydo-doc/3.1/views/pathway/i/enroute_concept.png)
For the analysis reported here, flight intent was not considered and no assessment of flight deviation was conducted since only aircraft tracks were used.īased on air traffic delay results from the Federal Aviation Administration's (FAA) Operations Network (OPSNET) data, more than 70% of the National Airspace System (NAS) reportable delays are attributed to convective weather. Additional details are presented for seven high-altitude sectors in the Fort Worth, Texas, center. Threshold values for each of the 20 Air Route Traffic Control Centers were also computed. The results are shown for different altitudes, times of day, aircraft types, and airspace users. Air traffic and weather data for a 4-month period during the summer of 2007 were used to compute the parameters for the continental United States. The main contribution of this paper is to provide a method to compute the probability threshold parameters using a specific experimental probabilistic convective forecast product providing hourly guidance up to 6 h. This value can be used by dispatchers for flight planning and by air traffic managers to reroute streams of aircraft around convective cells. Both intensity and echo top of the forecasted weather were synchronized with air traffic data to derive the probability threshold parameter. By synchronizing air traffic data and an experimental probabilistic convective weather forecast product, it was observed that aircraft avoid areas of specific forecasted probability. This paper presents a method for determining a threshold value of probabilistic convective weather forecast data.